DionAIQ — Intelligence Engine

Index Price

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Oracle Mid

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Market Gap

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Window Close

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Down Ask

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Up Ask

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Entry Cap

—

BTC 24H —

SESSION PNL —

WIN RATE —

CLOB BAL —

REDEEMABLE —

WINDOWS —

FILL RATE —

FEE 0.0 BPS

STREAK —

SIGNAL —

BTC 24H —

SESSION PNL —

WIN RATE —

CLOB BAL —

REDEEMABLE —

WINDOWS —

FILL RATE —

FEE 0.0 BPS

STREAK —

SIGNAL —

SCANNING…

Waiting for next 5-min window

Cheaper

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Costly

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Window

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Streak

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Period

Mode

Session PnL

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Real-Time

Success Rate

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— W / — L

Profit Factor

—

Avg W/L

CLOB Bal

—

— Real · Init: —

Redeemable

—

— NET PNL

Primary Exposure

CONNECTED

NO ACTIVE POSITION

Equity Curve

Exit Attribution

CURRENT SESSION

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Recent Trades

LIVE — ROWS

#	Date / Time	Side	Result	Mode	Market	Entry	Exit	Cost	P&L	P&L %	Reason	🔗
Loading trades…

SYSTEM CONTROLS

↗Live Market

Network Stats

LIVE

Status

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Uptime

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Windows Seen

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Fill Rate

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Drawdown

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Routing Mode

Fee Engine

0 BPS

Live Fee

0.0 BPS

Slippage

—

Breakeven

~38%

Global Wallet

CLOB (pUSD)

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Redeemable

—

Total AUM

—

Scaling Phase

PHASE 2

Risk / Trade

$10 / trade

Target

50 live trades, PF 2.5x

Mode

PAPER

Trading Dashboard

Live session overview — auto-refreshes every 15s

↗ Live Market

BTC / USD — Chainlink Oracle

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Price to Beat

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Oracle Price

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Live Chainlink

Window Open

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BTC 24h

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Chainlink UP/DN

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Window

15 min

Oracle Mid

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DOWN implied probability

UP —%DN —%

Window Timer

—:—

Current window:

—

Dominant Signal

Scanning...

↔ NEUTRAL

Confidence

—

Max Entry

—

UP Ask

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DOWN Ask

—

Scanning every 0.5s

Paper Account

$—

P&L — · Mult —

CLOB Balance

$—

Real USDC on-chain

Session Trades

0W / 0L

Signal Throughput

—

seen / skipped

Quick Controls

Session Performance — Equity Curve expand ↗

Recent Trades view all →

Sort Rows

Time (EDT)	Side	Entry	Exit	P&L	P&L%	W/L	Reason
No trades yet this session

Recent Log Tail AUTO-REFRESH 30s full log →

BOT RUNNING

Uptime: —

Paper Balance

—

Open Position

None

Entry Size

—

Post-Exit Cooldown

None

Session Performance

$+0.00

Session in progress

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Success Rate

—

Profit Factor

Trades

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Avg Win

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Avg Loss

—

Uptime

Server Time

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Bot Controls

Start, stop, and manage the systemd service

Command Output

Awaiting command...

Live Logs

journalctl -u polymarket-bot -f

Press ▶ Stream for live logs, or ⬇ Fetch for recent history.

Check Orders

Runs check_orders.py — positions, P&L, balance ⟳ auto-refreshes every 60s

Running check_orders.py...

PnL History

Runs pnl_tracker.py — full session breakdown ⟳ auto-refreshes every 60s

Running pnl_tracker.py...

Redeem Funds

Runs redeem_winnings.py — sends won positions to wallet

⚠ On-Chain Transaction — sends a Polygon blockchain transaction. Ensure no open trade is active first. Gas fees apply.

Click "Redeem Funds" to run.

Wallet Approvals

One-time on-chain approval transactions for Polymarket CLOB

⚠ One-time setup only. Run Approve Contracts first, then Approve USDC. Each click sends an on-chain transaction.

Select an approval to run.

Convert Funds

Wrap USDC.e or USDC → pUSD for live trading · Redeem funds back to USDC.e

CLOB Balance (pUSD)

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Available to trade

USDC.e Wallet

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Bridged — wrappable to pUSD

USDC Wallet

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Native — wrappable to pUSD

POL Balance

—

For gas fees

Redeemable Positions

—

Won — pending redemption

💡 How funds flow

Wins redeem → USDC.e wallet → Wrap to pUSD → Ready to trade

Buy USDC on Polygon → send to your wallet → wrap below → trade

ℹ Wrapping sends two on-chain transactions (approve + wrap). Each costs a small amount of POL for gas. After wrapping, run Approve USDC in the Approvals tab if it's your first wrap.

Click an action above to begin.

.env Configuration

Edit bot parameters — restart bot after saving any change

Private keys, API secrets and Telegram credentials are hidden and cannot be edited here. Use SSH for those.

Loading config...

After saving, restart the bot for changes to take effect:

Portfolio

Live position data from Polymarket — refreshes every 60s · ⚠ All-Time P&L shows only redeemed on-chain positions. Your full bot performance is in the Bot Trade Database below. Polymarket's -$283 includes all manual trades made before the bot started. ↗ Live Market

VIEW: —

Total P&L

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Realized P&L

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Unrealized P&L

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CLOB Balance

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Positions Value

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Pending Funds

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Success Rate

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Trades Settled

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Avg Win

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Avg Loss

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Profit Factor

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ROI on Capital

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Success Rate Visual

— —

Biggest win: — Biggest loss: — Total wagered: —

Bot Trade Database

Daily P&L Chart — Last 30 Days

Bars = daily P&L | Line = cumulative P&L | Source: latency_arb_trades.db

Open Positions (0)

None

Pending Redemptions — Won, Not Yet Redeemed (0)

None

Closed Wins — Redeemed (0)

ℹ Profitable positions disappear from Polymarket API after redemption. This section shows any unredeemed wins (curPrice ≥ 0.95). Your actual win history is in the Bot Trade Database above.

None pending

Closed Losses (0)

None

⚙️ Open Fade Settings

Edit BS_ parameters live — restart bot after saving any change

Secret keys (Telegram, private key) are hidden and must be edited via SSH.
After saving: docker restart openfade-bot

Paper Mode

BS_PAPER

Entry Mode

BS_POST_ONLY / BS_MARKET_ENTRY

Drift Filter

BS_DRIFT_FILTER

Kill Switch Override

BS_DAILY_DRAWDOWN_OVERRIDE

Overnight Gate

BS_OVERNIGHT_GATE — pause live trading overnight

Overnight Paper Mode

BS_OVERNIGHT_PAPER — collect paper data while gated

FAQ & Command Reference

Everything you need to operate the bot — no SSH required for most tasks

🤖 How the Bot Works

The bot monitors BTC 15-minute Up/Down markets on Polymarket. It uses the Chainlink oracle price feed — not Binance — because that's what Polymarket resolves on.

When Chainlink shows a strong directional move (e.g. DOWN=65%) but the market ask price is still below MAX_ENTRY_ASK, that gap is the arbitrage opportunity.

The bot enters, then exits via Take Profit, Trailing Stop, Near Resolve, or Stop Loss depending on price action.

📊 Understanding the Stats

Success Rate ≥ 60% = Strong Edge

Success Rate 55-60% = Slight Edge

Success Rate 45-55% = Break Even

Profit Factor > 1.0 = Profitable

Current: 43.6% WR paper, 59% in recent session

Goal: 50+ trades at 55%+ before going live

⚙️ Key Parameters

ORACLE_MID_THRESHOLDMin oracle gap to trigger (0.60 = 60%) MAX_ENTRY_ASKMax price to buy at (default 0.75 = 75¢) CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLDMin composite confidence (0.52) TAKE_PROFIT_PCTExit at +35% gain (0.35) HARD_STOP_PCTExit at -14% loss (0.14) TRAIL_PCTTrail 10% below peak (0.10) LIVE_TRADING0=paper, 1=live (needs 3 flags)

🚦 Why No Trades?

ask > MAX — Market already repriced above your entry cap. BTC is in a sustained trend.

conf < threshold — Oracle gap exists but Binance momentum doesn't confirm direction.

edge < minimum — Gap between oracle and market price too small.

Best conditions: BTC makes a sharp move at the START of a new 15-min window, before the market reprices.

💻 SSH Commands

Connect:

ssh root@your-server

systemctl status polymarket-botCheck if running systemctl restart polymarket-botRestart bot journalctl -u polymarket-bot -fLive logs nano /root/polymarket/.envEdit config python3 check_orders.pyView positions python3 pnl_tracker.pyFull P&L report python3 redeem_winnings.pyRedeem funds

🔴 Going Live Checklist

✅ Run 50+ paper trades with consistent 55%+ WR

✅ Fund CLOB wallet with USDC on Polygon

✅ Run approve_contracts.py once

✅ Run approve_usdc.py once

✅ Set in .env: LIVE_START_CAPITAL=500 (your deposit amount)

✅ Set in .env: LIVE_TRADING=1

✅ Set in .env: LIVE_CONFIRMED=1

✅ Restart bot, monitor first 5 trades closely

📈 Exit Reason Guide

✓ Take Profit

Best exit. Price hit +35% target. Market moved strongly in your direction.

✓ Near Resolve

Price hit 95¢+ near window close. Strong profit — market fully resolved your direction.

~ Trailing Stop

Profit secured but gave back 10% from peak. Can be profit or small loss depending on entry.

~ Time Exit

Window closing in 60s, position still open. Exits at market price — usually small gain.

✗ Stop Loss

Price moved -14% against position. Market reversed after entry. Biggest loss driver.

✗ Time Exit (Loss)

Window closed with position in loss. Small loss — better than Stop Loss.

Market	Outcome	Size	Avg Cost	Cur Price	Value	P&L	Status
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Time	Side	Market	Entry	Exit	Cost	P&L	Reason	Mode
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Recent Trades

Full trade history — direction and outcome are shown separately

Source

🎯 Open Fade Trades

Mode

Sort

Show

Date From

Date To

UP / DOWN = direction PROFIT / LOSS = outcome

#	Date / Time (EDT) ↕	Side ⓘ	Result ⓘ	Mode	Market	Entry	Exit	Cost	P&L ↕	P&L % ↕	Reason	🔗
No trades yet this session

0 trades

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🎯 Open Fade — Live Logs

Tailing log_openfade/